RATINGS LIST
Downgraded; CreditWatch/Outlook Action
To From
Standard Chartered Bank (Hong Kong) Ltd.
Counterparty Credit Rating A+/Positive/A-1 AA-/Watch Neg/A-1+
Standard Chartered Bank (Taiwan) Ltd.
Standard Chartered Bank Korea Ltd.
Counterparty Credit Rating A-/Positive/A-2 A/Watch Neg/A-1
Standard Chartered PLC
Senior Unsecured BBB+ A-/Watch Neg
Senior Unsecured cnA+ cnAA-/Watch Neg
Subordinated BBB- BBB/Watch Neg
Junior Subordinated BB- BB/Watch Neg
Preference Stock BB BB+/Watch Neg
Standard Chartered Bank
Senior Unsecured A A+/Watch Neg
Senior Unsecured Ap A+p/Watch Neg
Subordinated BBB BBB+/Watch Neg
Junior Subordinated BB+ BBB-/Watch Neg
Junior Subordinated BBB- BBB/Watch Neg
Preferred Stock BB+ BBB-/Watch Neg
Certificate Of Deposit A A+/Watch Neg
Standard Chartered Bank (Hong Kong) Ltd.
Senior Unsecured A+ AA-/Watch Neg
Subordinated A A+/Watch Neg
Downgraded; CreditWatch/Outlook Action; Ratings Affirmed
To From
Standard Chartered PLC
Counterparty Credit Rating BBB+/Stable/A-2 A-/Watch Neg/A-2
Standard Chartered Bank
Standard Chartered Bank (China) Ltd.
Counterparty Credit Rating A/Positive/A-1 A+/Watch Neg/A-1
Standard Chartered Bank
Certificate Of Deposit A/A-1 A+/Watch Neg/A-1
Standard Chartered Bank (Taiwan) Ltd.
Counterparty Credit Rating
Taiwan National Scale twAA/Positive/ twAA+/Watch Neg/
twA-1+ twA-1+
Ratings Affirmed
Standard Chartered Bank
Certificate Of Deposit A-1
Commercial Paper A-1
Ratings Affirmed; CreditWatch/Outlook Action
To From
Standard Chartered Bank (China) Ltd.
Standard Chartered Bank (Hong Kong) Ltd.
Greater China Regional Scale cnAAA/cnA-1+ cnAAA/Watch Neg/
cnA-1+
Standard Chartered Bank (Taiwan) Ltd.
Greater China Regional Scale cnAA+/cnA-1 cnAA+/Watch Neg/
cnA-1
Standard Chartered Bank
Certificate Of Deposit axA-1+ axA-1+/Watch Neg
Certificate Of Deposit axAAA axAAA/Watch Neg
Standard Chartered Bank (Hong Kong) Ltd.
Senior Unsecured cnAAA cnAAA/Watch Neg
Subordinated cnAA+ cnAA+/Watch Neg
"We consider the Standard Chartered group's creditworthiness to have weakened
considerably when compared with global peers with a similar stand-alone credit
profile such as major banks in Singapore, Canada, and Australia," said
Standard & Poor's credit analyst Terry Sham.
We expect the recovery in the group's performance to be protracted amid an
unsupportive operating environment. We therefore lowered the unsupported group
credit profile (GCP) by one notch to 'a-' from 'a', which leads to a lowering
of the issuer credit ratings on SCPLC and the issue credit ratings on SCPLC 's
senior unsecured issuance and the group's hybrid capital instruments. We
continue to include only one notch of additional loss-absorbing capacity
(ALAC) support into the supported GCP, and so lowered our ratings on most of
the group's operating companies. We lowered the ratings on SCBHK because we
expect that its creditworthiness will remain closely linked to that of the
wider Standard Chartered group.
We recognize the progress that management already made in 2015 and the
bolstering of capitalization that is likely to prove enduring under our base
case. Balance sheet strength is improving, but we do not see capitalization as
a relative strength that fully offsets the pressures on the business.
We have reflected these developments through the following two adjustments to
the composition of the group's unsupported GCP:
- We lowered our assessment of the group's business position to adequate
from strong. This acknowledges that the group is likely to retain many of
its key strengths and competitive advantages, but reflects our view that
the group is no longer a positive outlier in this regard.
- We raised capital and earnings to strong from adequate, but lowered risk
position to moderate from adequate, leading to no net change across these
two factors. We now project the group's risk-adjusted capital (RAC) ratio
to reach about 11% at end-2016 and to remain close to that level, from
10.4% at end-2015. However, the group's earnings are likely to remain
subdued through end-2017 at least.
Standard Chartered's GCP of 'a' remains one notch higher than the unsupported
GCP to reflect an uplift for ALAC, which is the buffer of instruments that
resolution authorities would use through bail-in to recapitalize the bank if
it fails. We expect ALAC to accrue to the benefit of senior creditors of the
group's main operating companies, but not those of SCPLC--being a
non-operating holding company whose senior obligations would likely not
receive full and timely payment in a resolution scenario. We calculate that
the group's ALAC ratio was close to 7.5% at end-2015.
Our ratings on SCBHK reflect our view of its 'a' SACP and the two notches of
uplift for potential extraordinary support from the Hong Kong government. In
our view, SCBHK remains the strongest of Standard Chartered's group operating
companies, and we have not revised down the SACP at this stage, nor changed
the support uplift. Nevertheless, while we see some differentiation in credit
quality with other group companies, we have used a notch of negative
adjustment to reflect our view that its creditworthiness will remain closely
linked to that of the wider Standard Chartered group. As a result, SCBHK
remains rated only one notch above SCB.
Standard Chartered PLC
The stable outlook acknowledges the difficult operating environment and
work-in-progress nature of management's actions, but reflects our view that
there are currently limited negative or positive pressures on the rating.
While unlikely at this time, we could lower the rating if we see a further
weakening in the group's unsupported GCP of 'a-'. This could result from
events such as: (1) a sharp adverse development in asset quality; (2) a
significant weakening in the group's funding or liquidity profiles; or (3)
factors that will require management to undertake a significantly more
far-reaching and substantial restructuring to restore the group's
profitability.
While a remote possibility at this time, we could raise the long-term rating
if we raise the unsupported GCP. We could do this, for example, if RAC
improves substantially beyond our current 11% projection, leading us to
conclude that the group's capitalization provides a substantial buffer against
possible future losses.
Standard Chartered Bank
The positive outlook reflects our view that the group's accumulation of ALAC
is likely to offer increased protection to senior unsecured creditors of the
group's operating subsidiaries in the next 12-24 months.
We would likely raise our long-term ratings on SCB once the group accumulates
8.5% ALAC on a sustainable basis. An upgrade would also need to be supported
by a view that a higher rating is justified in comparison with similarly
highly-rated peer.
If we raised our rating on SCB, we would likely also raise the ratings on
SCBC, SCBK, and SCBT, as long as we continue to believe that regulators and
resolution authorities would seek to ensure that these entities' senior
unsecured creditors continue to be paid on time and in full if the group
fails.
We would likely revise the outlook back to stable if the group's accumulation
of ALAC seems set to be delayed or fall short. This revision could also result
from reduced confidence that a higher rating is justified in comparison with
similarly highly-rated peers, for example due to mounting downside risks of
the type envisaged under the downside scenario for SCPLC.
Standard Chartered Bank (Hong Kong) Ltd.
The positive outlook on SCBHK mirrors the outlook on SCB.
We would likely raise our long-term ratings on SCBHK if we raise our rating on
SCB. This is conditional upon the sovereign rating on Hong Kong staying at
'AAA' and we continue to see a high likelihood of government support for
SCBHK.
We would likely revise the outlook on SCBHK to stable, if we have a similar
outlook revision on SCB. Alternatively, we could revise the outlook on SCBHK
to stable if we see a reduced capacity or likelihood of government support in
Hong Kong. This could happen if we lower our rating on Hong Kong, or we see
the banking resolution regime in Hong Kong evolves in a way that reduces the
willingness or flexibility of the government to support banks in a stressful
situation.
《經濟通通訊社1日專訊》評級機構標準普爾下調渣打集團(02888)的信貸評級,由
回覆刪除「A-」降至「BBB+」,主要因為市場貿易前景差,以及融資成本增加。
標普表示,自去年11月起,渣打主要營運的市場環境轉差,經濟增長及貿易活動都趨弱,
加上商品價格急挫,因此標普預期,渣打需要更長的時間復甦。