我的聲明

我的聲明:

這blog原是用來紀錄我收集各樣債券的資料和知識,方便自己学習。非我原創性的文章,都会儘量標明出處或作者。Blog內紀錄的債券不代表我擁有或建議任何人投資。每個人都要為自已的投資決定負責任。

我主要投資直債或Reits。歡迎大家一同交流,互相鼓勵。如果你有好的債券分析,也歡迎email給我放上來,公諸同好!

我也有另外一個網誌"Reits World 我的房託世界"是關於投資REITS的,歡迎瀏覽。http://reitsworld.blogspot.hk

2016年1月19日星期二

新昌營造 (HK404) HSINCG8.75 5/18/2018



                                                                                                               新昌營造集團網站


ISSUERBOND YTWYTM PriceDur
穆迪
SP
Finn
Special Feature
Updated
HSIN CHEONG(404HK)HSINCG8.75 5/18/187.13%103.652.2
NA
NA
NA
12/4/15
7.77%102.12.11/19/16


812/17/16
84.152/19/16


ISSUERBOND YTWYTM PriceDur穆迪SPFinnSpecial FeatureUpdated
HSIN CHEONG(404HK)
HSINCG8.5 1/15/19

8.0101.352.6NANANA
1/19/16
812/17/16

16/1/2016


Hsin Chong Construction Group’s due-2018 and due-2019 bonds fell more than 10 points this morning [16 February] on a bank pulling margin financing for company-issued securities amid rumors that two key relationship banks are considering pulling their credit lines, according to six market sources.
A spokesperson for the construction-turned-development company denied the rumors that credit facilities might be cut.
Hsin Chong’s unrated USD 300m, 8.75% due-2018s and USD 150m, 8.5% due-2019s were indicated at the high-80s shortly before lunchtime in Hong Kong, with substantial offer interest but limited bids, a dealer said.
In response to a “policy change,” Hang Seng Bank this week cut its margin financing level for securities issued by Hsin Chong to 0%, from 45%, a wealth management relationship manager at the bank said. The two tranches of notes are largely held by retail accounts in part because many institutional investors are concerned about the company’s growth plan in ostensibly low-value cities as well as related-party transactions and the mysterious departure of a well-regarded chairman and CEO late last year, as reported.
Hang Seng along with parent HSBC are the two banks rumored to be considering pulling lines, four of the six market sources said. A banker close to the situation and a person with knowledge of the matter said the banks are “running down” their credit facilities extended to the firm.HSBC and Hang Seng are the first two names on the non-alphabetical list of the company’s principal banks, as per its 1H15 report.
While there is little disclosed on the relationship, another source familiar said at minimum, Hsin Chong has outstanding a CNY 1bn (USD 153.5m) facility from Hang Seng secured by a Beijing project valued at 2x more than the outstanding.
The two banks did not respond for comment.
As of end-June, Hsin Chong had HKD 3bn (USD 385m) unrestricted cash against HKD 3.13bn bank borrowings and HKD 2.38bn of other borrowings from financial institutions maturing in the subsequent 12 months, according to the company’s interim report. It had restricted cash of HKD 25.9m.
The company issued the USD 150m due-2019s in January this year, part of a combined USD 550m of debt it raised since May 2015 to refinance mostly PRC-entrusted loans backed by newly acquired projects as well as to fund the initial deposits for its construction projects in Hong Kong, as reported.
Bankers since early this month have sounded out interest in Hsin Chong potentially tapping the due-2019s, according to two of the six market sources who were approached.
Bonanza
As reported, a shift in Hong Kong-based Hsin Chong’s business focus to the high-capex property development in China might in part erode the company’s strong fundamentals built upon its stable Hong Kong construction business.
Hsin Chong has been raising money largely because it won more than HKD 15bn construction project contracts in Hong Kong last year, nearly 3x more than 2014, the company spokesman said. Hsin Chong generally needs to chip in 3%-7% cash as a performance bond for every contract it wins, he added. There is also generally a roughly two-month time lag between the company’s outlay on a project for items like salaries and materials and when it gets reimbursed, he said.
The company relies on lending from commercial banks to fund the working capital, he said.
Hsin Chong is in a blackout period and scheduled to release its FY15 results in late March, the company spokesperson said

13/01/2016 
新昌營造(00404)發三年期票據,息率約8﹒5%
新昌營造(00404)公布擬發行以美元計值的優先票據,為其建造業務提供營運資金及用於一般企業目的。市場消息指出,新昌營造發行的為三年期票據,息率約8﹒5%。

9/01/2016 
新昌營造(0404)向前主席王英偉發3400萬元換股債作花紅
新昌營造(00404)公布,與認購人王英偉訂立契據,發行本金總額3400萬元之可換股債券。債券不計任何利息,為期兩年;可轉換為3400萬股,佔擴大後股本約0﹒65%;換股價為1元,較前收市價0﹒74元溢價約35﹒14%。
  公司指發行換股債,為認購人於去年1月1日至10月31日期間履行公司執行董事、執行
主席兼行政總裁職責之表現花紅。
公司背景最新及財務資料

中國奧園(HK3883) 10.875 5/26/2018



ISSUERBOND YTWYTM PriceDur穆迪SPFinnSpecial FeatureUpdated
中國奧園(3883HK)10.875 5/26/187.77%106.82.1 B3B-B+1/4/16
106.6B+1/19/16


事件簿
1/19/2016

標普:內房外債可捱人幣貶值10%                                              

人民幣貶值對持有較多美元或港元債務的內地發展商構成滙兌風險,若人民幣滙率持續疲弱,在境外發債較多的內房企將承受更大壓力;標普企業評級副董事廖美珊表示,雖然人民幣貶值難免對內房帶來經營壓力,但據估算,大部分發債的內房企業能夠抵受今年內人民幣貶值10%的影響,未必要因此調低信貸評級,審慎財務槓桿控制及流動性管理仍是穩定評級的主要因素。

人民幣兌美元自去年8月10日約6.2水平開始逐步貶值,截至去年底已貶值至6.49水平,昨天則報6.58,廖美珊表示,去年8月在岸人民幣(CHY)對美元大幅貶值,至今累計跌幅達6%。若今年底人民幣跌至7.22(按年貶值11.25%),相關內房的信貸評級將受打擊。
人民幣貶值對較多外幣債務的內房企帶來負面影響,由於在內地的收入、銷售及資產均以人民幣計價,而人民幣又未能自由兌換,對沖的成本高,內房企難以為外幣貸款進行自然對沖。
境內發債成本更低
據標普統計,截至去年6月底,有超過10間內房企持有較高水平的外幣債務,包括中國海外(00688)境外債佔80%,建業地產(00832)佔62%,華潤置地(01109)佔58%,禹洲地產(01628)佔58%,旭輝控股(00884)佔51%,奧園(03883)佔50%及雅居樂(03383)佔50%等。
廖美珊指出,雖然中國海外及潤地等大型發展商持有較多境外債,但由於他們融資能力較強,相對能夠應付人民幣貶值的風險。禹洲及旭輝等小型發展商則需要關注其再融資及流動性風險。
然而,標普認為,內地債市出現強勁增長,能夠降低人民幣貶值所帶來的風險,主要由於房企已經能夠在內地發行成本更低的人民幣債券,例如通過公開上市渠道或定向增發作出融資。
12/01/2016 
惠譽上調中國奧園(03883)評級展望至「正面」
中國奧園(03883)公布,獲國際信用評級機構惠譽上調企業信貸評級展望,由「穩定」提升至「正面」,並維持「B+」的長期企業信貸評級。
惠譽報告指出,是次上調評級展望反映了奧園在保持紀律性的購地策略及穩健的財務表現的
同時,實現銷售規模快速增長,2015年合同銷售達人民幣152億元,較2012年翻了約
兩倍。另一方面,惠譽的評級也反映了奧園的財務流動性充足,並已建立起多元化的境內外融資
渠道,有助降低融資成本。

6/01/2016 
奧園(3883)去年銷售總額升24%至152億元                             
奧園地產(03883)公布,去年全年集團實現未經審核合同銷售總額約151﹒7億元人民幣,較2014年同期增長約24%。
25/11/2015 
中國奧園(03883)贖回1﹒125億美元2017年到期票據
中國奧園(03883)公布,已在本月23日,按贖回價,即相等於其本金額106﹒9%,連同所有應計及未付利息,贖回本金金額1﹒125億美元的票據。佔公司發行,於2017年到期的本金額2﹒25億元優先票據之50%。

最新公司背景及財務資料

2016年1月18日星期一

* 中國宏橋(1378HK) 6.875 3/5/2018



ISSUERBOND YTWYTM PriceDur穆迪SPFinnSpecial FeatureUpdated
中國宏橋(1378HK)6.875 3/5/187.50%98.1252.1 BB-BB1/4/16


宏橋最新債價參考

事件簿


宏橋蝕滙12億 純利挫三成

中國宏橋(01378)公布截至2015年底全年業績,收入為441.1億元(人民幣.下同),按年升22.2%;但純利僅錄36.49億元,倒退31.3%;派末期息每股15港仙,減少46.4%。行政總裁兼執行董事張波預測,今年鋁價穩中有升,將處於每噸1.1萬至1.2萬元區間。
張波解釋,純利倒退是由於平均鋁價下跌、滙兌損失,以及財務費用及管理費用增加。財務費用按年大增66.8%至32.17億元,當中包括10億元(折合約11.94億港元)滙兌損失。
他表示,目前鋁產品需求穩定,除了傳統的建築、電力、交通等行業有需求外,鋁的新興應用範圍逐步增加,例如藥品包裝、電子產品等,都有助推升鋁的需求。張波預期,今年鋁價將穩中有升,業內共識是鋁價將處於每噸1.1萬至1.2萬元的區間。他透露今年集團產能可由518.6萬噸,提升15.7%至600萬噸。
將適時大減美債
宏橋於2015財政年度的毛利率為20.3%,張波表示,今年毛利率應不會較2015年差。對於集團滙兌損失大增,他稱,去年底美元債佔整體債務34.5%,集團已經做好準備,在適當時機大量減少美元債。
張波指出,今年集團的資本開支將會縮減,如市場對鋁的需求穩定,資本開支將不超過150億元,開支將用於電力建設及環保設施等;但如果市場困難,可能會暫停部分項目。

1/15/2016
中國宏橋發盈警
預期全年少賺25至35%。中國宏橋今早股價下跌,跌穿100天線(3.998元),曾低見3.68元,跌8.2%,現報3.71元,跌7.5%,成交暫錄得4280萬元。
2015年度隨着中國宏橋鋁產品產能的逐步擴大,鋁產品的產量和銷量按年增加,銷售收入按年增長,單位生產成本保持穩定,但由於2015年人民幣出現大幅貶值,該公司以美元計價的負債計提滙兌損失,以及2015年第四季鋁價出現較大下滑,導致盈利減少。

1/11/2016
宏橋供股因由搲爆頭  余再興 拆牌道勢/信報
事出必有因,正因為這句說話,習慣看到任何股本交易均「打爛沙盤問到篤」,至少不會貿然相信公司所謂的集資原因。中國宏橋(01378)於上周五(8日)宣布供股集資籌集約38.43億元;不過,有趣的是,負債比率達63.1%的宏橋,這次集資主要用途並非還債,而是加碼採購原材料。咁趣?
先簡單講講宏橋的供股詳情,透過每50股供7股發行8.92億股新股,每股供股價4.31元集資38億4258萬元,供股價沒有折讓或溢價。宏橋母公司宏橋控股及全球獨家協調人招商銀行為是次供股的包銷商,進行供股宏橋控股持有中國宏橋50億股,相當於78.51%,餘下21.49%為公眾股東,假設沒有股東願意參與供股,宏橋控股的持股會上升至58.89億股或81.13%,招商銀行只願包銷191.5萬股,相當於0.03%,不提也罷。
流動負債達336.12億元
看官們會問,持股近80%的宏橋控股包銷大部分股份,供股並非旨在清走「瘀血」把股權集中,那麼供股所為何事?
宏橋估計,這次供股集資所得淨額約為38.29億元,所得款項中約80%用作營運資金,主要為採購原材料之用,餘額則用作償還貸款。對於宏橋以採購原材料為由進行供股,老余有所保留,為什麼?讓老余與看官們一起翻閱宏橋截至6月底止的營運狀況。
截至6月底止,宏橋的收入及股東應佔盈利分別上升29.3%及33.4%,達到224.53億元及27.18億元(人民幣.下同),公司似乎交出一份不俗的成績表,再看資產負債狀況則令老余意外。該公司的非流動資產及流動資產分別是668億元及280.99億元,但非流動資產中約90%來自物業、廠房及設備,而流動資產中的現金及現金等價物則只有67.13億元。
雖然宏橋「坐擁」67.13億元現金,但再看需要在12個月內償還的流動負債卻同樣驚人。截至去年6月底止,宏橋的流動負債達336.12億元,非流動負債則達262.77億元。這時看官可能認為老余杞人憂天,只要宏橋的經營業務現金流健康便沒有問題,即是每年透過做生意流入的資金,已足夠還債。
現金收入大減仍舉債投資
宏橋去年上半年經營業務產生的現金流較2014年同期減少40%,由61.85億元減少至36.71億元,投資活動耗用的現金卻由30.94億元,大幅增加2倍,至97.11億元,最後來自融資活動的現金由9.05億元增至50.73億元(包括償還及新增銀行貸款91.83億元及118.72億元),加加減減後,宏橋截至去年6月底止的現金由103.9億元減少至67.13億元。
看官們從公司的現金流狀況,可以看到一些端倪,公司在經營現金收入大減,仍然透過舉債大肆投資,至於在去年6月底只有67.13億元卻要應付336.12億元流動負債的尷尬局面下,供股集資所得的金額,居然有80%資金用作採購原材料?
老余提醒看官,當一家公司流入的經營現金不足以應付流動負債,又繼續大肆投資的話,要加倍留神,因為公司除了不斷重組債務外,無法還清債務。撇除宏橋不提,歷來太多公司以舉債增加資本開支這種手法挪用公司資金,宏橋的情況好處是街貨不多及股息偏高;但無論如何,老余不會推薦此股。


1/8/2016
中國宏橋50供7 淨籌38.29億
中國宏橋(01378)公布,擬透過每名合資格股東每持有50股股份,獲配發7股供股股份的基準,以每股供股股份4.31元的認購價,發行約8.92億股供股股份,以供股方式籌集約38.43億元。
供股所得款項淨額估計將約38.29億元,所得款項淨額擬用於一般企業用途,包括營運資金及償還貸款。
認購價與該股最後一個交易日收市價相同。

12/10/2015
中國弘橋(01378)擬關閉25萬噸鋁產能



路透社》引述中國宏橋集團(01378)高管表示,計畫自周四起關閉25萬噸鋁產能。《彭博社》昨日引述消息指,為提振跌至6年低點的鋁 價,包括弘橋集團、中國鋁業(02600)在內的14家鋁生產商,將通過減產等方式抑制價格持續下滑。
宏橋集團是全球最大的鋁生產商,今年上半年純利27.18億元人民幣,按年增長33.43%。但隨著大宗商品價格普跌,原本具有巨大成本優勢的
中國鋁產量佔全球總產量約40%。市場調研公司安泰科的一份報告稱,國內超過6成的鋁產能帶來的現金流為負。安泰科預計,年底前中國將 減少500萬噸的鋁產能,佔總量的10%


最新公司背景及財務資料
信報網站

* Theta Capital Pte Ltd 2019 Bond Guaranteed by Lippo Karawaci







ISSUERBondPriceYTWYTMDurationMoody'sSPFinchUpdated
Theta Capital Pte LtdTheta 7     7/12/19101.36.41%6.592.8Ba3BB-
3/12/15
99.717.352.98

17/1/16

Remarks: Price from Quotenet.com


Th

eta Capital Pte Ltd. Bond (XS0780192471)

has a maturity date of 5/16/2019 and offers a coupon of 7.0000%. 
Payment of  coupon will take place 2 times per year on the 11/16 & 5/16
It was issued on the 5/16/2012 with a volume of 150 M. USD.
Guaranteed by Lippo Karawaci(Moody's rating Ba3 stable,SP,FINNCH both BB-)


Rating Action: 

Moody's affirms Lippo Karawaci's ratings; assigns (P)Ba3 to proposed bond

Global Credit Research - 02 Apr 2014

Singapore, April 02, 2014 -- Moody's Investors Service has affirmed the Ba3 corporate family rating of PT Lippo Karawaci Tbk and affirmed the Ba3 senior unsecured rating of bonds issued by Theta Capital Pte Ltd, a wholly owned subsidiary of Lippo Karawaci.
Moody's has also assigned a (P)Ba3 rating to the proposed USD senior unsecured notes to be issued by Theta Capital Pte Ltd and guaranteed by Lippo Karawaci and some of its subsidiaries.
The ratings outlook is stable.
The provisional status of the senior unsecured bond rating will be removed upon completion of the bond issuance with all satisfactory terms and conditions met.
RATINGS RATIONALE
Lippo Karawaci announced its proposed bond issuance on 2 April 2014, intending to raise up to USD150 million, largely to fund the development of new retail malls and hospitals, and for working capital requirements and general corporate purposes.
"If the planned bond issuance is successful, Lippo Karawaci will further extend its debt maturity profile to approximately seven years from 6.5 years now, and strengthen its ability to pursue its aggressive expansion plan," says Jacintha Poh, a Moody's Analyst.
"However, total debt and interest expenses will rise in the near term, negatively affecting its credit metrics in FY2014. On the other hand, the company will gradually benefit from sustained improvements in recurring income over the next two years," adds Poh, who is also the Lead Analyst for Lippo Karawaci.
Lippo Karawaci intends to construct 24 hospitals and 19 retail malls over the medium term. It is already constructing four hospitals and two retail malls from this total.
Given that its capital expenditure -- which is not committed and thereby allows the company the flexibility to scale down its expansion plans -- is likely to incorporate some level of debt funding (including the proposed bond issuance), we expect its leverage (adjusted debt/book capitalization) to weaken to 46%-48% from 45% in FY2013, but for interest coverage (adjusted EBITDA/ interest expense) to improve to 3.0x-3.3x from 2.1x, as growth in EBITDA outpaces higher interest expenses in FY2014.
"Nevertheless, Lippo Karawaci has consistently held adequate cash holdings, maintained a well-balanced debt maturity profile, with its next significant debt maturity scheduled only for May 2019. Moody's therefore believes the company will continue to balance its growth and financial discipline," says Poh.
The funding of Lippo Karawaci's expansion plan will also depend on its ability to sell completed hospitals and retail malls to its sponsored REITs -- First REIT (unrated) and Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust (unrated).
As of 31 December 2013, the company had cash and cash equivalents of IDR1.9 trillion (USD155 million) and total debt of IDR7.8 trillion (USD640 million), of which IDR17 billion (USD1 million) will mature over the next 12 months.
"Lippo Karawaci faces development risks associated with its expansion plans, but this situation is mitigated by its diversified property portfolio and growing recurring income base, which provides stability. Although Moody's expects growth in sales to slow, Lippo Karawaci's healthcare segment will remain resilient," says Poh.
The stable outlook on the ratings reflects Moody's expectation that Lippo Karawaci will maintain financial discipline while pursuing its growth strategy.
Lippo Karawaci's ratings are unlikely to be upgraded in the next 12-18 months, as it is embarking on its expansion plans.
However, we will consider upgrading the ratings if Lippo Karawaci: 1) continues to display financial discipline and improve its credit metrics, while pursuing growth, 2) strengthens the recurring income from its retail malls, healthcare, and hospitality property segments, as well as its portfolio management business, 3) achieves sustained sales performance and generates improved cash flows that raise its liquidity position, and 4) can show that its asset-light strategy is sustainable.
Specific credit metrics that we consider as indicative of an upgrade include: 1) recurring EBITDA/interest coverage above 2.0x-2.5x, 2) EBITDA/interest coverage above 4.0x-4.5x, and 3) adjusted debt/book capitalization below 40%-45% and adjusted debt/EBITDA below 3.0x on a sustained basis.
Downward pressure could emerge if Lippo Karawaci's financial and liquidity profile weakens due to: 1) the company failing to execute its business plans, 2) a deterioration occurring in the property market, resulting in protracted weakness in Lippo Karawaci's operations and credit profile, and 3) a material depreciation in the rupiah, which in turn increases the company's debt-servicing obligations.
Specific credit metrics that we consider as indicative of downgrade include: 1) recurring EBITDA/interest coverage below 1.0x, 2) EBITDA/interest coverage below 2.5x, and 3) adjusted debt/book capitalization above 50% and adjusted debt/EBITDA above 4.0x on a sustained basis.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was the Global Homebuilding Industry published in March 2009. Please see the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.
PT Lippo Karawaci Tbk is one of the largest property developers in Indonesia, with a sizable land bank of around 1,569 ha as of 31 December 2013. Since 2004, the company has diversified into the healthcare and hospitality businesses, as well as infrastructure development. Its recurring income continues to grow, comprising around 50% of total revenue over the last three years.